**Consensus official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a daily high of 98–100°F for Austin on August 30 under sunny skies and light southerly flow.** This positions the 98–99°F outcome as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with the 100–101°F bin at 25.5%, reflecting typical late-summer conditions of strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection from the Gulf without significant moisture or frontal disruption. Recent data show a stable hot pattern persisting after earlier August peaks near 107°F, with no major model shifts or cooling influences expected today. Traders weigh these verifiable NWS guidance and heat-index considerations against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or microclimate variations at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 68%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 7%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
$11,024 Wol.
NOWE
$11,024 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
68%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 68%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 7%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
$11,024 Wol.
NOWE
$11,024 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$35 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$151 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$781 Wol.
7%
98-99°F
$7,224 Wol.
68%
100-101°F
$1,533 Wol.
26%
102-103°F
$457 Wol.
1%
104-105°F
$174 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$54 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$135 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a daily high of 98–100°F for Austin on August 30 under sunny skies and light southerly flow.** This positions the 98–99°F outcome as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with the 100–101°F bin at 25.5%, reflecting typical late-summer conditions of strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection from the Gulf without significant moisture or frontal disruption. Recent data show a stable hot pattern persisting after earlier August peaks near 107°F, with no major model shifts or cooling influences expected today. Traders weigh these verifiable NWS guidance and heat-index considerations against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or microclimate variations at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,024Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a daily high of 98–100°F for Austin on August 30 under sunny skies and light southerly flow.** This positions the 98–99°F outcome as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with the 100–101°F bin at 25.5%, reflecting typical late-summer conditions of strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection from the Gulf without significant moisture or frontal disruption. Recent data show a stable hot pattern persisting after earlier August peaks near 107°F, with no major model shifts or cooling influences expected today. Traders weigh these verifiable NWS guidance and heat-index considerations against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or microclimate variations at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,024Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a daily high of 98–100°F for Austin on August 30 under sunny skies and light southerly flow.** This positions the 98–99°F outcome as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with the 100–101°F bin at 25.5%, reflecting typical late-summer conditions of strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection from the Gulf without significant moisture or frontal disruption. Recent data show a stable hot pattern persisting after earlier August peaks near 107°F, with no major model shifts or cooling influences expected today. Traders weigh these verifiable NWS guidance and heat-index considerations against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or microclimate variations at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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