National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 17?
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$32,334 Wol.
$32,334 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$32,334 Wol.
$32,334 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
$191 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$443 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 Wol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,889 Wol.
<1%
100-101°F
$11,753 Wol.
<1%
102-103°F
$5,886 Wol.
100%
104-105°F
$4,029 Wol.
<1%
106-107°F
$3,664 Wol.
<1%
108-109°F
$2,033 Wol.
<1%
110-111°F
$370 Wol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$646 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$32,334Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$32,334Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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