Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a high of 22–23°C for Amsterdam on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Mild Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from cloud cover support temperatures above the 19.4°C climatological average high but well below seasonal extremes. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure reduce the chance of cooler readings, while model consensus shows little divergence on peak values. Traders appear to weigh these near-term runs heavily as resolution nears, with any last-hour adjustments to cloud thickness or wind direction representing the main variables that could shift the final maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
22°C 45%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
45%
23°C
34%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 45%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$153 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$339 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$181 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Wol.
2%
20°C
$196 Wol.
3%
21°C
$467 Wol.
12%
22°C
$279 Wol.
45%
23°C
$637 Wol.
34%
24°C
$600 Wol.
10%
25°C
$118 Wol.
2%
26°C or higher
$156 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a high of 22–23°C for Amsterdam on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Mild Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from cloud cover support temperatures above the 19.4°C climatological average high but well below seasonal extremes. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure reduce the chance of cooler readings, while model consensus shows little divergence on peak values. Traders appear to weigh these near-term runs heavily as resolution nears, with any last-hour adjustments to cloud thickness or wind direction representing the main variables that could shift the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,125Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a high of 22–23°C for Amsterdam on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Mild Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from cloud cover support temperatures above the 19.4°C climatological average high but well below seasonal extremes. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure reduce the chance of cooler readings, while model consensus shows little divergence on peak values. Traders appear to weigh these near-term runs heavily as resolution nears, with any last-hour adjustments to cloud thickness or wind direction representing the main variables that could shift the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,125Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate a high of 22–23°C for Amsterdam on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Mild Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from cloud cover support temperatures above the 19.4°C climatological average high but well below seasonal extremes. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure reduce the chance of cooler readings, while model consensus shows little divergence on peak values. Traders appear to weigh these near-term runs heavily as resolution nears, with any last-hour adjustments to cloud thickness or wind direction representing the main variables that could shift the final maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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