Augusto Cury's recent surge in national polling has positioned him as the leading contender for third place in the October 4 first round, drawing support from voters seeking an alternative to the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show Cury rising to 8-11% after television interviews, debate performances, and social media momentum, outpacing Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema, who remain in the low single digits. Trader consensus reflects these trends, with Cury's centrist, outsider profile and gains among independents and younger voters elevating his implied probability for third while fragmenting the remaining opposition field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugusto Cury 53.1%
Renan Santos 24%
Ronaldo Caiado 10%
Pablo Marçal 2.5%
$1,005,324 Wol.
$1,005,324 Wol.
Oct 3, 2026
Augusto Cury
53%
Renan Santos
24%
Ronaldo Caiado
10%
Pablo Marçal
2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
2%
Romeu Zema
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Augusto Cury 53.1%
Renan Santos 24%
Ronaldo Caiado 10%
Pablo Marçal 2.5%
$1,005,324 Wol.
$1,005,324 Wol.
Oct 3, 2026
Augusto Cury
$122,933 Wol.
53%
Renan Santos
$276,842 Wol.
24%
Ronaldo Caiado
$114,351 Wol.
10%
Pablo Marçal
$46,822 Wol.
2%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$67,801 Wol.
2%
Romeu Zema
$49,253 Wol.
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$48,683 Wol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15,731 Wol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$16,773 Wol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$46,212 Wol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$9,865 Wol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$4,083 Wol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$20,815 Wol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$104,208 Wol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$13,084 Wol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$11,811 Wol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$9,374 Wol.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$23,202 Wol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$3,481 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury's recent surge in national polling has positioned him as the leading contender for third place in the October 4 first round, drawing support from voters seeking an alternative to the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show Cury rising to 8-11% after television interviews, debate performances, and social media momentum, outpacing Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema, who remain in the low single digits. Trader consensus reflects these trends, with Cury's centrist, outsider profile and gains among independents and younger voters elevating his implied probability for third while fragmenting the remaining opposition field.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,005,324Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury's recent surge in national polling has positioned him as the leading contender for third place in the October 4 first round, drawing support from voters seeking an alternative to the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show Cury rising to 8-11% after television interviews, debate performances, and social media momentum, outpacing Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema, who remain in the low single digits. Trader consensus reflects these trends, with Cury's centrist, outsider profile and gains among independents and younger voters elevating his implied probability for third while fragmenting the remaining opposition field.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$1,005,324Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Augusto Cury's recent surge in national polling has positioned him as the leading contender for third place in the October 4 first round, drawing support from voters seeking an alternative to the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro polarization. Multiple surveys from late August and early September, including Datafolha and Quaest, show Cury rising to 8-11% after television interviews, debate performances, and social media momentum, outpacing Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema, who remain in the low single digits. Trader consensus reflects these trends, with Cury's centrist, outsider profile and gains among independents and younger voters elevating his implied probability for third while fragmenting the remaining opposition field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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