Zelenskyy’s X activity remains elevated due to intensive diplomacy with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, NATO coordination, and responses to Russian strikes on Kyiv and other cities. Multiple daily bilingual updates on meetings, security measures, draft legislation, and counterstrike preparations have been the norm in early September. The closely matched 60-79 and 80-99 bins reflect trader assessment of this baseline output, tempered by uncertainty over whether the planned envoy visits, temporary ceasefire window, and any escalation or breakthrough will add extra posts or consolidate messaging into fewer statements. Scheduled events through September 11, including potential high-level calls and battlefield developments, remain the key variables that could widen or narrow the distribution.