Jerome Powell’s commitment to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship ended in May 2026 anchors the 94% market-implied probability against him joining an AI company this year. Ongoing legal matters, including a Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, have kept the former chair focused on institutional duties rather than private-sector moves. Powell has addressed artificial intelligence topics publicly—such as large language model productivity gains, cybersecurity risks from models like Anthropic’s Mythos, and labor-market effects—but these statements reflect regulatory oversight, not personal career shifts. At age 73 with a background centered on central banking and investment, realistic paths to an AI role would require a sudden, high-profile offer from a major lab plus swift ethics clearance, both of which remain absent from credible reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s commitment to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship ended in May 2026 anchors the 94% market-implied probability against him joining an AI company this year. Ongoing legal matters, including a Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, have kept the former chair focused on institutional duties rather than private-sector moves. Powell has addressed artificial intelligence topics publicly—such as large language model productivity gains, cybersecurity risks from models like Anthropic’s Mythos, and labor-market effects—but these statements reflect regulatory oversight, not personal career shifts. At age 73 with a background centered on central banking and investment, realistic paths to an AI role would require a sudden, high-profile offer from a major lab plus swift ethics clearance, both of which remain absent from credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
音量
$444終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s commitment to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship ended in May 2026 anchors the 94% market-implied probability against him joining an AI company this year. Ongoing legal matters, including a Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, have kept the former chair focused on institutional duties rather than private-sector moves. Powell has addressed artificial intelligence topics publicly—such as large language model productivity gains, cybersecurity risks from models like Anthropic’s Mythos, and labor-market effects—but these statements reflect regulatory oversight, not personal career shifts. At age 73 with a background centered on central banking and investment, realistic paths to an AI role would require a sudden, high-profile offer from a major lab plus swift ethics clearance, both of which remain absent from credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$444終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s commitment to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship ended in May 2026 anchors the 94% market-implied probability against him joining an AI company this year. Ongoing legal matters, including a Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, have kept the former chair focused on institutional duties rather than private-sector moves. Powell has addressed artificial intelligence topics publicly—such as large language model productivity gains, cybersecurity risks from models like Anthropic’s Mythos, and labor-market effects—but these statements reflect regulatory oversight, not personal career shifts. At age 73 with a background centered on central banking and investment, realistic paths to an AI role would require a sudden, high-profile offer from a major lab plus swift ethics clearance, both of which remain absent from credible reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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