OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, richer textures, stronger multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation than its predecessor, quickly securing the top two spots on Artificial Analysis and LMArena text-to-image and editing leaderboards. These gains in prompt adherence, world knowledge integration, and editing precision outpace current offerings from Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI models, and others. With resolution just 12 days away, only an unexpected competitive leap or significant benchmark reversal before month-end could realistically shift the market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日OpenAI 97.2%
マイクロソフトAI 1.0%
Meta <1%
バイトダンス <1%
$52,869 Vol.
$52,869 Vol.
2026/09/30
OpenAI
97%
マイクロソフトAI
1%
Meta
1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
アリババ
<1%
Reve
<1%
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Ideogram
<1%
Recraft
<1%
ブラックフォレストラボ
<1%
テンセント
<1%
OpenAI 97.2%
マイクロソフトAI 1.0%
Meta <1%
バイトダンス <1%
$52,869 Vol.
$52,869 Vol.
2026/09/30
OpenAI
$39,237 Vol.
97%
マイクロソフトAI
$693 Vol.
1%
Meta
$864 Vol.
1%
バイトダンス
$656 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$649 Vol.
<1%
アリババ
$5,431 Vol.
<1%
Reve
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
$743 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$717 Vol.
<1%
Ideogram
$697 Vol.
<1%
Recraft
$626 Vol.
<1%
ブラックフォレストラボ
$684 Vol.
<1%
テンセント
$584 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, richer textures, stronger multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation than its predecessor, quickly securing the top two spots on Artificial Analysis and LMArena text-to-image and editing leaderboards. These gains in prompt adherence, world knowledge integration, and editing precision outpace current offerings from Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI models, and others. With resolution just 12 days away, only an unexpected competitive leap or significant benchmark reversal before month-end could realistically shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
音量
$52,869終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, richer textures, stronger multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation than its predecessor, quickly securing the top two spots on Artificial Analysis and LMArena text-to-image and editing leaderboards. These gains in prompt adherence, world knowledge integration, and editing precision outpace current offerings from Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI models, and others. With resolution just 12 days away, only an unexpected competitive leap or significant benchmark reversal before month-end could realistically shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$52,869終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETOpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, up to 50% lower latency, richer textures, stronger multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation than its predecessor, quickly securing the top two spots on Artificial Analysis and LMArena text-to-image and editing leaderboards. These gains in prompt adherence, world knowledge integration, and editing precision outpace current offerings from Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI models, and others. With resolution just 12 days away, only an unexpected competitive leap or significant benchmark reversal before month-end could realistically shift the market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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