Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 20.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$186,167 Vol.
$186,167 Vol.

Anthropic
78%

OpenAI
20%

<1%

Z.ai
<1%

スペースXAI
<1%

アマゾン
<1%

Meta
<1%

アリババ
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

バイトダンス
<1%

バイドゥ
<1%

Mistral
<1%

美団
<1%

マイクロソフト
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 20.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$186,167 Vol.
$186,167 Vol.

Anthropic
78%

OpenAI
20%

<1%

Z.ai
<1%

スペースXAI
<1%

アマゾン
<1%

Meta
<1%

アリババ
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

バイトダンス
<1%

バイドゥ
<1%

Mistral
<1%

美団
<1%

マイクロソフト
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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