SpaceX continues ramping infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37 to enable the first Starship orbital-class flight from Florida, with contractors accelerating pad and support systems construction amid plans for up to 76 annual launches. Recent environmental impact statements and Space Force coordination have cleared key hurdles, yet FAA regulatory approval and final vehicle integration testing from ongoing Texas flights remain critical gates. Trader sentiment favors a 2027 resolution because Starship V3 development, booster catch attempts, and payload demonstrations are still advancing primarily from Starbase, making a late-2026 debut possible but dependent on rapid East Coast certification and no further delays in the aggressive cadence targets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
August 31, 2026
2%
December 31, 2026
30%
June 30, 2027
80%
$6,891 Vol.
August 31, 2026
$1,427 Vol.
2%
December 31, 2026
$5,245 Vol.
30%
June 30, 2027
$219 Vol.
80%
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues ramping infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37 to enable the first Starship orbital-class flight from Florida, with contractors accelerating pad and support systems construction amid plans for up to 76 annual launches. Recent environmental impact statements and Space Force coordination have cleared key hurdles, yet FAA regulatory approval and final vehicle integration testing from ongoing Texas flights remain critical gates. Trader sentiment favors a 2027 resolution because Starship V3 development, booster catch attempts, and payload demonstrations are still advancing primarily from Starbase, making a late-2026 debut possible but dependent on rapid East Coast certification and no further delays in the aggressive cadence targets.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
音量
$6,891終了日
2027/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues ramping infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37 to enable the first Starship orbital-class flight from Florida, with contractors accelerating pad and support systems construction amid plans for up to 76 annual launches. Recent environmental impact statements and Space Force coordination have cleared key hurdles, yet FAA regulatory approval and final vehicle integration testing from ongoing Texas flights remain critical gates. Trader sentiment favors a 2027 resolution because Starship V3 development, booster catch attempts, and payload demonstrations are still advancing primarily from Starbase, making a late-2026 debut possible but dependent on rapid East Coast certification and no further delays in the aggressive cadence targets.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$6,891終了日
2027/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX continues ramping infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37 to enable the first Starship orbital-class flight from Florida, with contractors accelerating pad and support systems construction amid plans for up to 76 annual launches. Recent environmental impact statements and Space Force coordination have cleared key hurdles, yet FAA regulatory approval and final vehicle integration testing from ongoing Texas flights remain critical gates. Trader sentiment favors a 2027 resolution because Starship V3 development, booster catch attempts, and payload demonstrations are still advancing primarily from Starbase, making a late-2026 debut possible but dependent on rapid East Coast certification and no further delays in the aggressive cadence targets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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