Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 sits near $4.9 trillion amid closely matched trader odds reflecting uncertainty over sustained AI-driven growth versus intensifying competition. Its data center revenue continues expanding on Blackwell GPU demand and 74% AI inference share, bolstered by the CUDA software ecosystem that differentiates it from AMD and Intel alternatives. However, custom accelerators from hyperscalers like Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, and Microsoft designs threaten long-term share, while 2026 stock performance has lagged the broader semiconductor sector. Earnings visibility through year-end and any regulatory or supply constraints will likely determine whether the valuation holds above $5 trillion or compresses toward $4 trillion ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5.50～6.00兆ドル 33%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル 22%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル 22%
4兆ドル未満 20%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
4兆ドル未満
22%
4.00兆〜4.50兆ドル
24%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル
22%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル
22%
5.50～6.00兆ドル
33%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル
22%
6.5兆ドル以上
18%
5.50～6.00兆ドル 33%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル 22%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル 22%
4兆ドル未満 20%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
4兆ドル未満
$68 Vol.
22%
4.00兆〜4.50兆ドル
$95 Vol.
24%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル
$61 Vol.
22%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル
$0 Vol.
22%
5.50～6.00兆ドル
$26 Vol.
33%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル
$32 Vol.
22%
6.5兆ドル以上
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 sits near $4.9 trillion amid closely matched trader odds reflecting uncertainty over sustained AI-driven growth versus intensifying competition. Its data center revenue continues expanding on Blackwell GPU demand and 74% AI inference share, bolstered by the CUDA software ecosystem that differentiates it from AMD and Intel alternatives. However, custom accelerators from hyperscalers like Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, and Microsoft designs threaten long-term share, while 2026 stock performance has lagged the broader semiconductor sector. Earnings visibility through year-end and any regulatory or supply constraints will likely determine whether the valuation holds above $5 trillion or compresses toward $4 trillion ranges.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
音量
$282終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 sits near $4.9 trillion amid closely matched trader odds reflecting uncertainty over sustained AI-driven growth versus intensifying competition. Its data center revenue continues expanding on Blackwell GPU demand and 74% AI inference share, bolstered by the CUDA software ecosystem that differentiates it from AMD and Intel alternatives. However, custom accelerators from hyperscalers like Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, and Microsoft designs threaten long-term share, while 2026 stock performance has lagged the broader semiconductor sector. Earnings visibility through year-end and any regulatory or supply constraints will likely determine whether the valuation holds above $5 trillion or compresses toward $4 trillion ranges.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$282終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 sits near $4.9 trillion amid closely matched trader odds reflecting uncertainty over sustained AI-driven growth versus intensifying competition. Its data center revenue continues expanding on Blackwell GPU demand and 74% AI inference share, bolstered by the CUDA software ecosystem that differentiates it from AMD and Intel alternatives. However, custom accelerators from hyperscalers like Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, and Microsoft designs threaten long-term share, while 2026 stock performance has lagged the broader semiconductor sector. Earnings visibility through year-end and any regulatory or supply constraints will likely determine whether the valuation holds above $5 trillion or compresses toward $4 trillion ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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