Recent strong Q2 2026 results, with 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion, 37% AWS expansion, and a surge past the $3 trillion market cap threshold, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered between $2.5 trillion and $4 trillion. Traders weigh robust AI-driven cloud demand and operating leverage against elevated capital expenditures, potential margin pressures from infrastructure investments, and broader equity valuation multiples. Analyst consensus targets near $320 per share imply further upside potential through year-end, yet competitive dynamics in e-commerce margins and hyperscaler rivalry introduce balanced probabilities across the central ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3.50～4.00兆ドル 46%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル 39%
＜2.00兆ドル 37%
3兆～3.5兆ドル 31%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
＜2.00兆ドル
37%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル
39%
2.50兆～3.00兆ドル
30%
3兆～3.5兆ドル
31%
3.50～4.00兆ドル
46%
4.00〜4.50兆ドル
22%
4.5兆ドル以上
22%
3.50～4.00兆ドル 46%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル 39%
＜2.00兆ドル 37%
3兆～3.5兆ドル 31%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
＜2.00兆ドル
$0 Vol.
37%
2.00〜2.50兆ドル
$0 Vol.
39%
2.50兆～3.00兆ドル
$233 Vol.
30%
3兆～3.5兆ドル
$0 Vol.
31%
3.50～4.00兆ドル
$0 Vol.
46%
4.00〜4.50兆ドル
$0 Vol.
22%
4.5兆ドル以上
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent strong Q2 2026 results, with 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion, 37% AWS expansion, and a surge past the $3 trillion market cap threshold, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered between $2.5 trillion and $4 trillion. Traders weigh robust AI-driven cloud demand and operating leverage against elevated capital expenditures, potential margin pressures from infrastructure investments, and broader equity valuation multiples. Analyst consensus targets near $320 per share imply further upside potential through year-end, yet competitive dynamics in e-commerce margins and hyperscaler rivalry introduce balanced probabilities across the central ranges.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
音量
$233終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent strong Q2 2026 results, with 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion, 37% AWS expansion, and a surge past the $3 trillion market cap threshold, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered between $2.5 trillion and $4 trillion. Traders weigh robust AI-driven cloud demand and operating leverage against elevated capital expenditures, potential margin pressures from infrastructure investments, and broader equity valuation multiples. Analyst consensus targets near $320 per share imply further upside potential through year-end, yet competitive dynamics in e-commerce margins and hyperscaler rivalry introduce balanced probabilities across the central ranges.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$233終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent strong Q2 2026 results, with 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion, 37% AWS expansion, and a surge past the $3 trillion market cap threshold, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered between $2.5 trillion and $4 trillion. Traders weigh robust AI-driven cloud demand and operating leverage against elevated capital expenditures, potential margin pressures from infrastructure investments, and broader equity valuation multiples. Analyst consensus targets near $320 per share imply further upside potential through year-end, yet competitive dynamics in e-commerce margins and hyperscaler rivalry introduce balanced probabilities across the central ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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