Traders see a tight race for the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of December 2026, with Apple holding the highest implied probability at 39 percent, followed by Alphabet at 28.5 percent and NVIDIA at 24 percent. Recent AI infrastructure spending, cloud revenue growth, and semiconductor demand have kept these three positioned near the top, while Microsoft trails at just 6 percent despite its OpenAI partnership. Key differentiators include Apple’s hardware ecosystem and services margins versus Alphabet’s search dominance and AI model releases, and NVIDIA’s GPU leadership amid expanding data-center buildouts. Upcoming earnings, regulatory scrutiny on big tech, and any shifts in AI adoption rates could quickly alter the ordering before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アップル 39%
アルファベット 29%
NVIDIA 25%
マイクロソフト 7%

アップル
39%

アルファベット
29%

NVIDIA
25%

マイクロソフト
7%

テスラ
2%

サウジアラムコ
1%

アマゾン
7%

スペースX
1%

ブロードコム
1%
アップル 39%
アルファベット 29%
NVIDIA 25%
マイクロソフト 7%

アップル
39%

アルファベット
29%

NVIDIA
25%

マイクロソフト
7%

テスラ
2%

サウジアラムコ
1%

アマゾン
7%

スペースX
1%

ブロードコム
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 8:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight race for the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of December 2026, with Apple holding the highest implied probability at 39 percent, followed by Alphabet at 28.5 percent and NVIDIA at 24 percent. Recent AI infrastructure spending, cloud revenue growth, and semiconductor demand have kept these three positioned near the top, while Microsoft trails at just 6 percent despite its OpenAI partnership. Key differentiators include Apple’s hardware ecosystem and services margins versus Alphabet’s search dominance and AI model releases, and NVIDIA’s GPU leadership amid expanding data-center buildouts. Upcoming earnings, regulatory scrutiny on big tech, and any shifts in AI adoption rates could quickly alter the ordering before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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