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icon for 8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?

8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?

icon for 8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?

8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?

8月 21

8月 21

ChatGPT 49%

7 Brew Coffee 49%

ParentSquare 26%

Vinted:プレラブドマーケットプレイス 26%

Polymarket
新規

ChatGPT 49%

7 Brew Coffee 49%

ParentSquare 26%

Vinted:プレラブドマーケットプレイス 26%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$9 Vol.

26%

icon for Vinted:プレラブドマーケットプレイス

Vinted:プレラブドマーケットプレイス

$9 Vol.

26%

icon for Threads

Threads

$42 Vol.

4%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$2 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50% for multiple contenders signals high uncertainty in daily App Store rankings, where outcomes hinge on short-term download velocity, algorithmic promotion, and viral user acquisition rather than established leaders. ChatGPT's near-even positioning underscores ongoing demand for large language model chatbots, while Threads and TikTok Pro highlight social platform competition for engagement metrics and content virality. Niche entrants like 7 Brew Coffee or ParentSquare gain traction through targeted campaigns or seasonal relevance, creating a fragmented field where any app could surge via updates, partnerships, or featured placements. With resolution just days away, last-minute marketing pushes or external events remain key swing factors traders are pricing in.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$62
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50% for multiple contenders signals high uncertainty in daily App Store rankings, where outcomes hinge on short-term download velocity, algorithmic promotion, and viral user acquisition rather than established leaders. ChatGPT's near-even positioning underscores ongoing demand for large language model chatbots, while Threads and TikTok Pro highlight social platform competition for engagement metrics and content virality. Niche entrants like 7 Brew Coffee or ParentSquare gain traction through targeted campaigns or seasonal relevance, creating a fragmented field where any app could surge via updates, partnerships, or featured placements. With resolution just days away, last-minute marketing pushes or external events remain key swing factors traders are pricing in.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$62
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ChatGPT」で49%、次いで「7 Brew Coffee」が49%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ChatGPT」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「7 Brew Coffee」で49%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月21日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.1の無料アプリが登場しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。