SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory, currently near $159 with a roughly $2.0 trillion market cap as of early July 2026, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-month valuation. The June 12 listing at $135 per share triggered an initial surge above $2 trillion, driven by Starlink revenue momentum and the February xAI integration, before partial retracement amid elevated multiples and analyst skepticism over fundamentals like Q1 losses. With outcomes clustered tightly around 49% implied probabilities, markets reflect uncertainty over near-term catalysts including potential bond issuance effects, Starship progress, and broader tech sector volatility tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Modest revenue visibility and liquidity from the $75 billion raise support a wide trading range, while historical IPO pops followed by mean reversion highlight the potential for swings across the $1.5–3.5 trillion bands by July 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.5兆ドル～2.0兆ドル 69%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル 24%
2.0兆ドル～2.5兆ドル 15%
1兆ドル未満 4.8%
新規
新規
2026/07/31
1兆ドル未満
5%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
24%
1.5兆ドル～2.0兆ドル
62%
2.0兆ドル～2.5兆ドル
15%
2.5兆ドル～3.0兆ドル
4%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
<1%
3.5兆ドル以上
<1%
1.5兆ドル～2.0兆ドル 69%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル 24%
2.0兆ドル～2.5兆ドル 15%
1兆ドル未満 4.8%
新規
新規
2026/07/31
1兆ドル未満
$697 Vol.
5%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
$1,228 Vol.
24%
1.5兆ドル～2.0兆ドル
$1,036 Vol.
62%
2.0兆ドル～2.5兆ドル
$3,395 Vol.
15%
2.5兆ドル～3.0兆ドル
$656 Vol.
4%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
$915 Vol.
<1%
3.5兆ドル以上
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory, currently near $159 with a roughly $2.0 trillion market cap as of early July 2026, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-month valuation. The June 12 listing at $135 per share triggered an initial surge above $2 trillion, driven by Starlink revenue momentum and the February xAI integration, before partial retracement amid elevated multiples and analyst skepticism over fundamentals like Q1 losses. With outcomes clustered tightly around 49% implied probabilities, markets reflect uncertainty over near-term catalysts including potential bond issuance effects, Starship progress, and broader tech sector volatility tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Modest revenue visibility and liquidity from the $75 billion raise support a wide trading range, while historical IPO pops followed by mean reversion highlight the potential for swings across the $1.5–3.5 trillion bands by July 31.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
音量
$8,192終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory, currently near $159 with a roughly $2.0 trillion market cap as of early July 2026, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-month valuation. The June 12 listing at $135 per share triggered an initial surge above $2 trillion, driven by Starlink revenue momentum and the February xAI integration, before partial retracement amid elevated multiples and analyst skepticism over fundamentals like Q1 losses. With outcomes clustered tightly around 49% implied probabilities, markets reflect uncertainty over near-term catalysts including potential bond issuance effects, Starship progress, and broader tech sector volatility tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Modest revenue visibility and liquidity from the $75 billion raise support a wide trading range, while historical IPO pops followed by mean reversion highlight the potential for swings across the $1.5–3.5 trillion bands by July 31.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
音量
$8,192終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory, currently near $159 with a roughly $2.0 trillion market cap as of early July 2026, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-month valuation. The June 12 listing at $135 per share triggered an initial surge above $2 trillion, driven by Starlink revenue momentum and the February xAI integration, before partial retracement amid elevated multiples and analyst skepticism over fundamentals like Q1 losses. With outcomes clustered tightly around 49% implied probabilities, markets reflect uncertainty over near-term catalysts including potential bond issuance effects, Starship progress, and broader tech sector volatility tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Modest revenue visibility and liquidity from the $75 billion raise support a wide trading range, while historical IPO pops followed by mean reversion highlight the potential for swings across the $1.5–3.5 trillion bands by July 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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