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icon for スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝

スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝

icon for スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝

スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝

Ahsanul Hafiz 67%

ファティマ・シャバン 31%

ヌール・タルン <1%

マーク・ベッカリング <1%

Polymarket

$12,437 Vol.

Ahsanul Hafiz 67%

ファティマ・シャバン 31%

ヌール・タルン <1%

マーク・ベッカリング <1%

Polymarket

$12,437 Vol.

icon for Ahsanul Hafiz

Ahsanul Hafiz

$4,304 Vol.

67%

icon for ファティマ・シャバン

ファティマ・シャバン

$6,377 Vol.

31%

icon for ヌール・タルン

ヌール・タルン

$570 Vol.

1%

icon for マーク・ベッカリング

マーク・ベッカリング

$611 Vol.

<1%

icon for クリス・リース

クリス・リース

$574 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).**Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader pricing at 67% in the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election market ahead of the September 3, 2026 vote, with Fatima Shaban at 31% and all other candidates at or below 1%.** The riding became vacant after NDP MPP Doly Begum resigned in February 2026 to run federally as a Liberal, where she won the concurrent Scarborough Southwest by-election by a wide margin. Hafiz secured the Ontario Liberal nomination in May after defeating Nathaniel Erskine-Smith in a close ranked-ballot contest that survived an appeal. Shaban is the NDP nominee and community organizer seeking to retain the historically NDP-leaning seat, while Noor Tarun represents the Progressive Conservatives and Mark Bekkering the Greens. The market reflects trader assessments of the three-way contest dynamics following candidate nominations and the recent federal result in the overlapping riding.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
音量
$12,437
終了日
2026/09/03
マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).**Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader pricing at 67% in the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election market ahead of the September 3, 2026 vote, with Fatima Shaban at 31% and all other candidates at or below 1%.** The riding became vacant after NDP MPP Doly Begum resigned in February 2026 to run federally as a Liberal, where she won the concurrent Scarborough Southwest by-election by a wide margin. Hafiz secured the Ontario Liberal nomination in May after defeating Nathaniel Erskine-Smith in a close ranked-ballot contest that survived an appeal. Shaban is the NDP nominee and community organizer seeking to retain the historically NDP-leaning seat, while Noor Tarun represents the Progressive Conservatives and Mark Bekkering the Greens. The market reflects trader assessments of the three-way contest dynamics following candidate nominations and the recent federal result in the overlapping riding.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
音量
$12,437
終了日
2026/09/03
マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Ahsanul Hafiz」で67%、次いで「ファティマ・シャバン」が31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝」は$12.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「Ahsanul Hafiz」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ファティマ・シャバン」で31%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「スカボロー・サウスウェスト州補欠選挙で優勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。