Recent polling from institutes such as Neokemp and Jovem Pan/MAPA places Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni of the PL ahead in first-preference support for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats, with the former consistently leading the latter by several points while other names trail in single digits. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks this positioning, driven by the PL’s organizational strength in the state and the candidates’ shared alignment with former President Jair Bolsonaro’s network. The contest for first place remains close because both contenders draw from overlapping voter bases, with de Toni gaining visibility through endorsements tied to Michelle Bolsonaro and Bolsonaro leveraging name recognition after relocating from Rio. Upcoming campaign events, additional surveys, or shifts in second-preference flows could widen the gap ahead of the October 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Carlos Bolsonaro 55%
Carol de Toni 38%
Afrânio Boppré 2.7%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.7%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Carlos Bolsonaro
55%
Carol de Toni
38%
Afrânio Boppré
3%
Joaninha de Oliveira
3%
Décio Lima
3%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
2%
Carol
2%
Marlene Soccas
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%
Esperidião Amin
1%
Marcos Dorval
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 55%
Carol de Toni 38%
Afrânio Boppré 2.7%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.7%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Carlos Bolsonaro
$659 Vol.
55%
Carol de Toni
$1,205 Vol.
38%
Afrânio Boppré
$142 Vol.
3%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$172 Vol.
3%
Décio Lima
$142 Vol.
3%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$126 Vol.
2%
Carol
$126 Vol.
2%
Marlene Soccas
$215 Vol.
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$447 Vol.
2%
Esperidião Amin
$126 Vol.
1%
Marcos Dorval
$94 Vol.
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$126 Vol.
<1%
Lunelli
$201 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Neokemp and Jovem Pan/MAPA places Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni of the PL ahead in first-preference support for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats, with the former consistently leading the latter by several points while other names trail in single digits. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks this positioning, driven by the PL’s organizational strength in the state and the candidates’ shared alignment with former President Jair Bolsonaro’s network. The contest for first place remains close because both contenders draw from overlapping voter bases, with de Toni gaining visibility through endorsements tied to Michelle Bolsonaro and Bolsonaro leveraging name recognition after relocating from Rio. Upcoming campaign events, additional surveys, or shifts in second-preference flows could widen the gap ahead of the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
音量
$3,784終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Neokemp and Jovem Pan/MAPA places Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni of the PL ahead in first-preference support for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats, with the former consistently leading the latter by several points while other names trail in single digits. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks this positioning, driven by the PL’s organizational strength in the state and the candidates’ shared alignment with former President Jair Bolsonaro’s network. The contest for first place remains close because both contenders draw from overlapping voter bases, with de Toni gaining visibility through endorsements tied to Michelle Bolsonaro and Bolsonaro leveraging name recognition after relocating from Rio. Upcoming campaign events, additional surveys, or shifts in second-preference flows could widen the gap ahead of the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$3,784終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Neokemp and Jovem Pan/MAPA places Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni of the PL ahead in first-preference support for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats, with the former consistently leading the latter by several points while other names trail in single digits. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices tracks this positioning, driven by the PL’s organizational strength in the state and the candidates’ shared alignment with former President Jair Bolsonaro’s network. The contest for first place remains close because both contenders draw from overlapping voter bases, with de Toni gaining visibility through endorsements tied to Michelle Bolsonaro and Bolsonaro leveraging name recognition after relocating from Rio. Upcoming campaign events, additional surveys, or shifts in second-preference flows could widen the gap ahead of the October 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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