Recent polling from Datafolha and AtlasIntel shows a tight contest for the top Senate spots in Ceará, with incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) clustered within a few points amid technical ties. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, narrowing the field to eight contenders for the two seats and sharpening focus on name recognition and party machinery. Cid’s incumbency and recent survey edges support trader consensus around his 1st-place probability, while Wagner’s consistent second-place showing and Lins’s occasional leads reflect fragmented opposition support. Upcoming debates or final campaign pushes in the two months before the October 4 vote could shift margins in this low-information environment where small swings determine the leader.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シド・ゴメス 55%
カピタン・ワグナー 25%
ルイジアネ 12%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 6%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
シド・ゴメス
55%
カピタン・ワグナー
25%
ルイジアネ
12%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス
6%
カタリナ・マトス
4%
リノ・アルヴェス
4%
レジナルド
4%
ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
4%
シド・ゴメス 55%
カピタン・ワグナー 25%
ルイジアネ 12%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 6%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
シド・ゴメス
$306 Vol.
55%
カピタン・ワグナー
$174 Vol.
25%
ルイジアネ
$41 Vol.
12%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス
$40 Vol.
6%
カタリナ・マトス
$109 Vol.
4%
リノ・アルヴェス
$86 Vol.
4%
レジナルド
$88 Vol.
4%
ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
$86 Vol.
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and AtlasIntel shows a tight contest for the top Senate spots in Ceará, with incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) clustered within a few points amid technical ties. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, narrowing the field to eight contenders for the two seats and sharpening focus on name recognition and party machinery. Cid’s incumbency and recent survey edges support trader consensus around his 1st-place probability, while Wagner’s consistent second-place showing and Lins’s occasional leads reflect fragmented opposition support. Upcoming debates or final campaign pushes in the two months before the October 4 vote could shift margins in this low-information environment where small swings determine the leader.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
音量
$931終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and AtlasIntel shows a tight contest for the top Senate spots in Ceará, with incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) clustered within a few points amid technical ties. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, narrowing the field to eight contenders for the two seats and sharpening focus on name recognition and party machinery. Cid’s incumbency and recent survey edges support trader consensus around his 1st-place probability, while Wagner’s consistent second-place showing and Lins’s occasional leads reflect fragmented opposition support. Upcoming debates or final campaign pushes in the two months before the October 4 vote could shift margins in this low-information environment where small swings determine the leader.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$931終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and AtlasIntel shows a tight contest for the top Senate spots in Ceará, with incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) clustered within a few points amid technical ties. Candidate registration closed in mid-August, narrowing the field to eight contenders for the two seats and sharpening focus on name recognition and party machinery. Cid’s incumbency and recent survey edges support trader consensus around his 1st-place probability, while Wagner’s consistent second-place showing and Lins’s occasional leads reflect fragmented opposition support. Upcoming debates or final campaign pushes in the two months before the October 4 vote could shift margins in this low-information environment where small swings determine the leader.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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