Cleitinho Azevedo leads trader consensus in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his frontrunner status in an open contest after incumbent Romeu Zema resigned in March 2026 to pursue the presidency. Mateus Simões, who assumed the governorship and switched to PSD with Zema's endorsement, holds 23.1% as the continuity candidate backed by the party's organizational strength. Alexandre Kalil sits at 10.1%, while later entrants such as Patrus Ananias (PT nominee announced in July) and lower-polling figures face steeper paths. Recent party realignments and the first-round dynamics scheduled for October shape these probabilities ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Cleitinho Azevedo 53%
Mateus Simões 23.1%
Alexandre Kalil 10.1%
Gabriel Azevedo 4.2%
$145,063 Vol.
$145,063 Vol.
2026/10/04
Cleitinho Azevedo
53%
Mateus Simões
23%
Alexandre Kalil
10%
Gabriel Azevedo
4%
Rodrigo Pacheco
2%
ベノニ・メンデス
2%
Nikolas Ferreira
1%
Tadeu Leite
1%
Alexandre Silveira
1%
Aécio Neves
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 53%
Mateus Simões 23.1%
Alexandre Kalil 10.1%
Gabriel Azevedo 4.2%
$145,063 Vol.
$145,063 Vol.
2026/10/04
Cleitinho Azevedo
$78,362 Vol.
53%
Mateus Simões
$9,493 Vol.
23%
Alexandre Kalil
$23,759 Vol.
10%
Gabriel Azevedo
$3,434 Vol.
4%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$16,003 Vol.
2%
ベノニ・メンデス
$3,295 Vol.
2%
Nikolas Ferreira
$4,536 Vol.
1%
Tadeu Leite
$2,638 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Silveira
$1,477 Vol.
1%
Aécio Neves
$2,065 Vol.
1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo leads trader consensus in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his frontrunner status in an open contest after incumbent Romeu Zema resigned in March 2026 to pursue the presidency. Mateus Simões, who assumed the governorship and switched to PSD with Zema's endorsement, holds 23.1% as the continuity candidate backed by the party's organizational strength. Alexandre Kalil sits at 10.1%, while later entrants such as Patrus Ananias (PT nominee announced in July) and lower-polling figures face steeper paths. Recent party realignments and the first-round dynamics scheduled for October shape these probabilities ahead of the general election.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
音量
$145,063終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo leads trader consensus in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his frontrunner status in an open contest after incumbent Romeu Zema resigned in March 2026 to pursue the presidency. Mateus Simões, who assumed the governorship and switched to PSD with Zema's endorsement, holds 23.1% as the continuity candidate backed by the party's organizational strength. Alexandre Kalil sits at 10.1%, while later entrants such as Patrus Ananias (PT nominee announced in July) and lower-polling figures face steeper paths. Recent party realignments and the first-round dynamics scheduled for October shape these probabilities ahead of the general election.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$145,063終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo leads trader consensus in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his frontrunner status in an open contest after incumbent Romeu Zema resigned in March 2026 to pursue the presidency. Mateus Simões, who assumed the governorship and switched to PSD with Zema's endorsement, holds 23.1% as the continuity candidate backed by the party's organizational strength. Alexandre Kalil sits at 10.1%, while later entrants such as Patrus Ananias (PT nominee announced in July) and lower-polling figures face steeper paths. Recent party realignments and the first-round dynamics scheduled for October shape these probabilities ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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