Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a low temperature in Wuhan on September 2 likely falling in the low 20s°C range, with consensus around 21–23°C driven by a shift to northerly winds and increased cloud cover moderating overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's near-even implied odds across 20–27°C outcomes, reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs as frontal influences and humidity levels evolve over the next 48 hours. Historical climatology places early September lows near 24°C on average, but current conditions suggest a modest cooldown from late August warmth, with precipitation chances remaining low and unlikely to significantly alter the minimum. Updated model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の武漢の最低気温は?
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
17°C or below
8%
18°C
11%
19°C
48%
20°C
92%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
56%
24°C
43%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
25%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
17°C or below
8%
18°C
11%
19°C
48%
20°C
92%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
56%
24°C
43%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a low temperature in Wuhan on September 2 likely falling in the low 20s°C range, with consensus around 21–23°C driven by a shift to northerly winds and increased cloud cover moderating overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's near-even implied odds across 20–27°C outcomes, reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs as frontal influences and humidity levels evolve over the next 48 hours. Historical climatology places early September lows near 24°C on average, but current conditions suggest a modest cooldown from late August warmth, with precipitation chances remaining low and unlikely to significantly alter the minimum. Updated model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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