Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures have maintained typical late-July nocturnal conditions across South Florida, with Miami International Airport observations and NOAA climatological normals pointing to an overnight low near 80°F. Long-term July averages place daily minima at 76–79°F, rarely dipping below 74°F absent a rare cold-air intrusion, and current model guidance shows no such steering pattern or frontal passage. This scientific baseline underpins the market’s 95% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin, reflecting traders’ recognition that only an atypical synoptic shift could produce meaningfully lower readings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のマイアミの最低気温は?
80〜81°F 98%
78〜79°F 2%
76〜77°F 1.0%
74〜75°F <1%
$10,964 Vol.
$10,964 Vol.
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72~73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
1%
76〜77°F
1%
78〜79°F
2%
80〜81°F
98%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 98%
78〜79°F 2%
76〜77°F 1.0%
74〜75°F <1%
$10,964 Vol.
$10,964 Vol.
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72~73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
1%
76〜77°F
1%
78〜79°F
2%
80〜81°F
98%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures have maintained typical late-July nocturnal conditions across South Florida, with Miami International Airport observations and NOAA climatological normals pointing to an overnight low near 80°F. Long-term July averages place daily minima at 76–79°F, rarely dipping below 74°F absent a rare cold-air intrusion, and current model guidance shows no such steering pattern or frontal passage. This scientific baseline underpins the market’s 95% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin, reflecting traders’ recognition that only an atypical synoptic shift could produce meaningfully lower readings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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