Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and local Finnish sources, indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 2 clustered between 10–15 °C under a weak southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 19 °C, yet variable cloud cover and light winds introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical climatology places the average low near 11.5 °C, providing context for why market-implied odds concentrate tightly around 12–15 °C while assigning lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the balance between clear-sky cooling and any residual moisture or wind effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
12°C 94%
15°C 94%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
40%
9°C
24%
10°C
46%
11°C
42%
12°C
94%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
94%
16°C or higher
12%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
12°C 94%
15°C 94%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
40%
9°C
24%
10°C
46%
11°C
42%
12°C
94%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
94%
16°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and local Finnish sources, indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 2 clustered between 10–15 °C under a weak southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 19 °C, yet variable cloud cover and light winds introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Historical climatology places the average low near 11.5 °C, providing context for why market-implied odds concentrate tightly around 12–15 °C while assigning lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the balance between clear-sky cooling and any residual moisture or wind effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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