**Recent atmospheric conditions over southern Finland, including persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow, are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting a daily minimum in the 13–16 °C range for Helsinki on 31 August.** Official guidance from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models shows daytime highs near 18–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain, followed by gradual clearing overnight. This setup reduces the temperature drop compared with clear, calm nights, while dew points near 15–16 °C further constrain how low readings can fall. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–16 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing of any clearing and wind speeds, which determine whether the minimum settles near 13 °C under brief clearer intervals or holds closer to 15–16 °C with continued moisture and mixing. Historical late-August averages near 12 °C provide context, but the current southerly advection has shifted the distribution higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
16°C 34%
15°C 34%
13°C 26%
14°C 23%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
16%
13°C
26%
14°C
23%
15°C
34%
16°C
34%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 34%
15°C 34%
13°C 26%
14°C 23%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
16%
13°C
26%
14°C
23%
15°C
34%
16°C
34%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent atmospheric conditions over southern Finland, including persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow, are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting a daily minimum in the 13–16 °C range for Helsinki on 31 August.** Official guidance from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models shows daytime highs near 18–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain, followed by gradual clearing overnight. This setup reduces the temperature drop compared with clear, calm nights, while dew points near 15–16 °C further constrain how low readings can fall. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–16 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing of any clearing and wind speeds, which determine whether the minimum settles near 13 °C under brief clearer intervals or holds closer to 15–16 °C with continued moisture and mixing. Historical late-August averages near 12 °C provide context, but the current southerly advection has shifted the distribution higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問