Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to peak temperatures of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 19, driven by the city's subtropical monsoon climate with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and high humidity that suppress daytime heating. These conditions align with trader consensus favoring 35°C (41%) and nearby outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer patterns where afternoon convection and moisture limit extremes above 37°C while keeping readings well above seasonal baselines around 30°C. Updated short-range model guidance through August 18 will be the next key input for assessing any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の武漢の最高気温は?
35°C 42%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
22%
35°C
42%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
22%
35°C
42%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to peak temperatures of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 19, driven by the city's subtropical monsoon climate with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and high humidity that suppress daytime heating. These conditions align with trader consensus favoring 35°C (41%) and nearby outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer patterns where afternoon convection and moisture limit extremes above 37°C while keeping readings well above seasonal baselines around 30°C. Updated short-range model guidance through August 18 will be the next key input for assessing any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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