Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s maximum temperature for August 18 near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on those three outcomes. Strengthening westerly flow advects cooler maritime air, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Model consensus shows limited spread because boundary-layer moisture and weak pressure gradients limit both upward spikes above 22 °C and deeper cooling below 19 °C. Official guidance from AccuWeather and the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak around 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with morning showers possible, keeping resolution sensitive to any late-day clearing or convective timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
21°C 30%
19°C 25.9%
20°C 25%
22°C 13%
新規
$107,524 Vol.
新規
$107,524 Vol.
2026/08/18
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
30%
22°C
13%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 30%
19°C 25.9%
20°C 25%
22°C 13%
新規
$107,524 Vol.
新規
$107,524 Vol.
2026/08/18
15°C or below
$11,542 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$13,431 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,651 Vol.
1%
18°C
$8,557 Vol.
6%
19°C
$9,353 Vol.
26%
20°C
$6,775 Vol.
25%
21°C
$9,081 Vol.
30%
22°C
$7,269 Vol.
13%
23°C
$7,709 Vol.
3%
24°C
$10,145 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$14,875 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s maximum temperature for August 18 near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on those three outcomes. Strengthening westerly flow advects cooler maritime air, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Model consensus shows limited spread because boundary-layer moisture and weak pressure gradients limit both upward spikes above 22 °C and deeper cooling below 19 °C. Official guidance from AccuWeather and the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak around 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with morning showers possible, keeping resolution sensitive to any late-day clearing or convective timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$107,524終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s maximum temperature for August 18 near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on those three outcomes. Strengthening westerly flow advects cooler maritime air, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Model consensus shows limited spread because boundary-layer moisture and weak pressure gradients limit both upward spikes above 22 °C and deeper cooling below 19 °C. Official guidance from AccuWeather and the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak around 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with morning showers possible, keeping resolution sensitive to any late-day clearing or convective timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$107,524終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s maximum temperature for August 18 near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities on those three outcomes. Strengthening westerly flow advects cooler maritime air, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers reduce surface insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Model consensus shows limited spread because boundary-layer moisture and weak pressure gradients limit both upward spikes above 22 °C and deeper cooling below 19 °C. Official guidance from AccuWeather and the Met Office reinforces a daytime peak around 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with morning showers possible, keeping resolution sensitive to any late-day clearing or convective timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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