Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 18 indicate a daytime maximum of 25–26°C after morning cloud and rain clear to reveal sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze, positioning 25°C as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. These values align closely with seasonal baselines slightly above the 22°C August average, supported by current pressure patterns and limited daytime heating. Model consensus remains stable with minimal uncertainty from recent observations, though final resolution hinges on official verified readings at representative stations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 24–26°C cluster heavily given the pleasant but not exceptional conditions expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のロンドンの最高気温は?
25°C 42%
24°C 31%
26°C 19%
23°C 8%
$65,929 Vol.
$65,929 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
31%
25°C
42%
26°C
19%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 31%
26°C 19%
23°C 8%
$65,929 Vol.
$65,929 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
31%
25°C
42%
26°C
19%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 18 indicate a daytime maximum of 25–26°C after morning cloud and rain clear to reveal sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze, positioning 25°C as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. These values align closely with seasonal baselines slightly above the 22°C August average, supported by current pressure patterns and limited daytime heating. Model consensus remains stable with minimal uncertainty from recent observations, though final resolution hinges on official verified readings at representative stations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 24–26°C cluster heavily given the pleasant but not exceptional conditions expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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