Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather places Shenzhen’s August 18 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with surface dew points supporting high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling and daytime radiative heating. Isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially suppressing peaks below 33 °C or allowing brief clear spells to reach 35 °C. Historical August averages of 32 °C and limited model spread reinforce trader focus on the 33–35 °C outcomes, while short-range guidance expected before local midnight will further constrain resolution around the official station reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の深センの最高気温は?
34°C 53%
35°C 20.1%
33°C 19%
36°C or higher 5.1%
$41,565 Vol.
$41,565 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
19%
34°C
53%
35°C
20%
36°C or higher
5%
34°C 53%
35°C 20.1%
33°C 19%
36°C or higher 5.1%
$41,565 Vol.
$41,565 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
19%
34°C
53%
35°C
20%
36°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather places Shenzhen’s August 18 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with surface dew points supporting high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling and daytime radiative heating. Isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially suppressing peaks below 33 °C or allowing brief clear spells to reach 35 °C. Historical August averages of 32 °C and limited model spread reinforce trader focus on the 33–35 °C outcomes, while short-range guidance expected before local midnight will further constrain resolution around the official station reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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