Latest forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles show London maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely reaching 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Southerly flow of milder Atlantic air, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a weak high-pressure ridge create tight uncertainty ranges around these values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but include scenarios for slight warming if clearer skies develop or cooling from increased winds and showers. Official observations from the designated London station will resolve the market, with final model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のロンドンの最高気温は?
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
31%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
31%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles show London maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely reaching 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Southerly flow of milder Atlantic air, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a weak high-pressure ridge create tight uncertainty ranges around these values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but include scenarios for slight warming if clearer skies develop or cooling from increased winds and showers. Official observations from the designated London station will resolve the market, with final model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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