Latest forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 28–29°C in Munich on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds, positioning these as the dominant outcomes in the market. This aligns with model consensus for a warmer-than-average day driven by high pressure and reduced cloud cover, exceeding the long-term August mean high near 23°C. Trader sentiment reflects this guidance, with 29°C commanding the highest implied probability at 40.5%, followed by 28°C and 30°C, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted given current observational trends and limited model spread. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 12%
$24,021 Vol.
$24,021 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
26%
29°C
41%
30°C
18%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 12%
$24,021 Vol.
$24,021 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
26%
29°C
41%
30°C
18%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 28–29°C in Munich on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds, positioning these as the dominant outcomes in the market. This aligns with model consensus for a warmer-than-average day driven by high pressure and reduced cloud cover, exceeding the long-term August mean high near 23°C. Trader sentiment reflects this guidance, with 29°C commanding the highest implied probability at 40.5%, followed by 28°C and 30°C, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted given current observational trends and limited model spread. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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