Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thundershowers possible. These factors limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from reaching the 37°C+ levels seen in clearer, drier August episodes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 35°C and 36°C because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a delay in convection or slightly stronger insolation could push the daily maximum into the upper range, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower outcome. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this narrow band around the seasonal mean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の武漢の最高気温は?
35°C 45%
36°C 45%
34°C 15%
33°C 3%
$22,258 Vol.
$22,258 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
18%
35°C
38%
36°C
38%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 45%
34°C 15%
33°C 3%
$22,258 Vol.
$22,258 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
18%
35°C
38%
36°C
38%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thundershowers possible. These factors limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping peaks from reaching the 37°C+ levels seen in clearer, drier August episodes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 35°C and 36°C because model runs show only modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a delay in convection or slightly stronger insolation could push the daily maximum into the upper range, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower outcome. Historical climatology for mid-August supports this narrow band around the seasonal mean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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