Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月19日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
21°C 46%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
23°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
23%
21°C
46%
22°C
25%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 46%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
23°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
14°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$398 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$347 Vol.
3%
19°C
$442 Vol.
4%
20°C
$200 Vol.
23%
21°C
$301 Vol.
46%
22°C
$1,362 Vol.
25%
23°C
$30 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$114 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$3,616終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,616終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from European centers and Poland’s meteorological service indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw of 20–22°C on August 19 under a cool northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit solar heating and daytime maxima. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average highs hover near 23°C, yet the current synoptic pattern suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates the latest model runs and real-time observations showing no significant warming trend through the period. Updated forecasts and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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