**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and regional services converge on a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light-to-moderate northwest winds.** This places the highest probability on 32 °C (market-implied 61 %) followed by 33 °C (36.5 %), consistent with the seasonal transition from August highs near 31 °C and the absence of anomalous synoptic features such as strong subsidence or warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability scenarios supporting 34 °C or higher, while cooler outcomes below 31 °C are limited by the expected daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs in the final 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these central values ahead of official Israel Meteorological Service observations that will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
9月1日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
32°C 63%
33°C 29%
34°C 2%
31°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
63%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
33°C 29%
34°C 2%
31°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
30°C or below
$582 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$446 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,938 Vol.
63%
33°C
$2,284 Vol.
29%
34°C
$579 Vol.
2%
35°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and regional services converge on a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light-to-moderate northwest winds.** This places the highest probability on 32 °C (market-implied 61 %) followed by 33 °C (36.5 %), consistent with the seasonal transition from August highs near 31 °C and the absence of anomalous synoptic features such as strong subsidence or warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability scenarios supporting 34 °C or higher, while cooler outcomes below 31 °C are limited by the expected daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs in the final 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these central values ahead of official Israel Meteorological Service observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$7,566終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and regional services converge on a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light-to-moderate northwest winds.** This places the highest probability on 32 °C (market-implied 61 %) followed by 33 °C (36.5 %), consistent with the seasonal transition from August highs near 31 °C and the absence of anomalous synoptic features such as strong subsidence or warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability scenarios supporting 34 °C or higher, while cooler outcomes below 31 °C are limited by the expected daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs in the final 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these central values ahead of official Israel Meteorological Service observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,566終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and regional services converge on a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light-to-moderate northwest winds.** This places the highest probability on 32 °C (market-implied 61 %) followed by 33 °C (36.5 %), consistent with the seasonal transition from August highs near 31 °C and the absence of anomalous synoptic features such as strong subsidence or warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability scenarios supporting 34 °C or higher, while cooler outcomes below 31 °C are limited by the expected daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs in the final 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader consensus around these central values ahead of official Israel Meteorological Service observations that will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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