Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models place Shenzhen's September 6 high at 31°C, the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the region's early September monsoon pattern are expected to moderate daytime heating, aligning with seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with some guidance allowing brief peaks near 32°C if breaks in rain occur, while heavier precipitation could hold readings to 30°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar conditions rarely exceed 33°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution may further influence positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の深センの最高気温は？
9月6日の深センの最高気温は？
31℃ 47%
32℃ 27%
30°C 18%
33℃ 5%
新規
$14,370 Vol.
新規
$14,370 Vol.
2026/09/06
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31℃
47%
32℃
27%
33℃
5%
34℃以上
1%
31℃ 47%
32℃ 27%
30°C 18%
33℃ 5%
新規
$14,370 Vol.
新規
$14,370 Vol.
2026/09/06
24℃以下
$160 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$1,868 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,470 Vol.
5%
30°C
$3,861 Vol.
18%
31℃
$1,512 Vol.
47%
32℃
$832 Vol.
27%
33℃
$1,202 Vol.
5%
34℃以上
$821 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models place Shenzhen's September 6 high at 31°C, the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the region's early September monsoon pattern are expected to moderate daytime heating, aligning with seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with some guidance allowing brief peaks near 32°C if breaks in rain occur, while heavier precipitation could hold readings to 30°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar conditions rarely exceed 33°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution may further influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$14,370終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models place Shenzhen's September 6 high at 31°C, the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the region's early September monsoon pattern are expected to moderate daytime heating, aligning with seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with some guidance allowing brief peaks near 32°C if breaks in rain occur, while heavier precipitation could hold readings to 30°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar conditions rarely exceed 33°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution may further influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,370終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETConsensus forecasts from meteorological agencies and models place Shenzhen's September 6 high at 31°C, the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity typical of the region's early September monsoon pattern are expected to moderate daytime heating, aligning with seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with some guidance allowing brief peaks near 32°C if breaks in rain occur, while heavier precipitation could hold readings to 30°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar conditions rarely exceed 33°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution may further influence positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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