Thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on September 21 are the main driver behind trader positioning, with models indicating scattered rain and cloud cover that will curb afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Recent clear conditions produced highs near 34–35°C, but the shift to雷阵雨 (thunderstorms) is expected to trim peaks by 2–4°C relative to prior days. Official guidance clusters around 30–32°C, creating tight implied probabilities near 31–32°C while leaving room for variance depending on rain timing and intensity. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs and steering patterns introduce the primary uncertainty for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の深センの最高気温は？
9月21日の深センの最高気温は？
35℃以上 37%
34℃ 36%
31°C 30%
32℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
25℃以下
4%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28℃
16%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32℃
30%
33℃
18%
34℃
36%
35℃以上
37%
35℃以上 37%
34℃ 36%
31°C 30%
32℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
25℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
26℃
$0 Vol.
4%
27℃
$0 Vol.
4%
28℃
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32℃
$0 Vol.
30%
33℃
$0 Vol.
18%
34℃
$0 Vol.
36%
35℃以上
$0 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on September 21 are the main driver behind trader positioning, with models indicating scattered rain and cloud cover that will curb afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Recent clear conditions produced highs near 34–35°C, but the shift to雷阵雨 (thunderstorms) is expected to trim peaks by 2–4°C relative to prior days. Official guidance clusters around 30–32°C, creating tight implied probabilities near 31–32°C while leaving room for variance depending on rain timing and intensity. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs and steering patterns introduce the primary uncertainty for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on September 21 are the main driver behind trader positioning, with models indicating scattered rain and cloud cover that will curb afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Recent clear conditions produced highs near 34–35°C, but the shift to雷阵雨 (thunderstorms) is expected to trim peaks by 2–4°C relative to prior days. Official guidance clusters around 30–32°C, creating tight implied probabilities near 31–32°C while leaving room for variance depending on rain timing and intensity. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs and steering patterns introduce the primary uncertainty for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on September 21 are the main driver behind trader positioning, with models indicating scattered rain and cloud cover that will curb afternoon solar heating and cap the daily maximum. Recent clear conditions produced highs near 34–35°C, but the shift to雷阵雨 (thunderstorms) is expected to trim peaks by 2–4°C relative to prior days. Official guidance clusters around 30–32°C, creating tight implied probabilities near 31–32°C while leaving room for variance depending on rain timing and intensity. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs and steering patterns introduce the primary uncertainty for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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