Current forecast models point to a high near 30°C in Taipei on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds favor 32°C or 33°C at roughly 57% combined probability. This positioning reflects trader expectations of modest daytime heating in the subtropical autumn transition, where historical September maxima often reach 31–32°C. Differentiating factors among the clustered 31–33°C outcomes include small variations in cloud cover, humidity suppressing or enhancing radiative heating, and wind mixing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Official updates from the Central Weather Administration and numerical model consensus will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の台北の最高気温は？
9月21日の台北の最高気温は？
32℃ 40%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 24%
30℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
26℃以下
4%
27℃
4%
28℃
15%
29℃
16%
30℃
20%
31℃
24%
32℃
34%
33℃
24%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36℃以上
4%
32℃ 40%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 24%
30℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
26℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
27℃
$0 Vol.
4%
28℃
$0 Vol.
15%
29℃
$0 Vol.
16%
30℃
$0 Vol.
20%
31℃
$5 Vol.
24%
32℃
$6 Vol.
34%
33℃
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36℃以上
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a high near 30°C in Taipei on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds favor 32°C or 33°C at roughly 57% combined probability. This positioning reflects trader expectations of modest daytime heating in the subtropical autumn transition, where historical September maxima often reach 31–32°C. Differentiating factors among the clustered 31–33°C outcomes include small variations in cloud cover, humidity suppressing or enhancing radiative heating, and wind mixing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Official updates from the Central Weather Administration and numerical model consensus will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$11終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a high near 30°C in Taipei on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds favor 32°C or 33°C at roughly 57% combined probability. This positioning reflects trader expectations of modest daytime heating in the subtropical autumn transition, where historical September maxima often reach 31–32°C. Differentiating factors among the clustered 31–33°C outcomes include small variations in cloud cover, humidity suppressing or enhancing radiative heating, and wind mixing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Official updates from the Central Weather Administration and numerical model consensus will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models point to a high near 30°C in Taipei on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds favor 32°C or 33°C at roughly 57% combined probability. This positioning reflects trader expectations of modest daytime heating in the subtropical autumn transition, where historical September maxima often reach 31–32°C. Differentiating factors among the clustered 31–33°C outcomes include small variations in cloud cover, humidity suppressing or enhancing radiative heating, and wind mixing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Official updates from the Central Weather Administration and numerical model consensus will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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