Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on clear to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds over Incheon on September 7, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where reduced cloud cover and minimal moisture advection favor peak temperatures in this narrow band rather than extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C respectively tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C+ underscoring limited forecast spread. Final resolution will hinge on the official Incheon station reading, with any last-minute model adjustments from the evening update potentially shifting sentiment before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
28℃ 54%
29℃ 37%
27℃ 7%
30°C 5%
$11,194 Vol.
$11,194 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
2%
27℃
7%
28℃
54%
29℃
37%
30°C
5%
31℃
2%
32℃以上
<1%
28℃ 54%
29℃ 37%
27℃ 7%
30°C 5%
$11,194 Vol.
$11,194 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
2%
27℃
7%
28℃
54%
29℃
37%
30°C
5%
31℃
2%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on clear to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds over Incheon on September 7, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where reduced cloud cover and minimal moisture advection favor peak temperatures in this narrow band rather than extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C respectively tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C+ underscoring limited forecast spread. Final resolution will hinge on the official Incheon station reading, with any last-minute model adjustments from the evening update potentially shifting sentiment before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問