Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Panama City on July 31 because official observations and short-range model guidance from agencies like Panama's ETESA aligned with that exact peak under typical wet-season conditions. Afternoon convection and cloud cover capped further warming despite high humidity and insolation, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 32–34°C envelope supported by ensemble forecasts. This outcome matches historical July baselines around 30–32°C with occasional spikes from suppressed rainfall. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky episode or revised station data showing a 35°C reading, though post-event verification makes such revisions unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
34℃ 100.0%
26°C以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
28℃ <1%
$19,261 Vol.
$19,261 Vol.
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
34℃ 100.0%
26°C以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
28℃ <1%
$19,261 Vol.
$19,261 Vol.
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have converged on 34°C as the certain high for Panama City on July 31 because official observations and short-range model guidance from agencies like Panama's ETESA aligned with that exact peak under typical wet-season conditions. Afternoon convection and cloud cover capped further warming despite high humidity and insolation, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 32–34°C envelope supported by ensemble forecasts. This outcome matches historical July baselines around 30–32°C with occasional spikes from suppressed rainfall. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky episode or revised station data showing a 35°C reading, though post-event verification makes such revisions unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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