Trader sentiment clusters around 31–32°C because official guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Panama City on August 23. In the peak of the rainy season, intense solar heating triggers widespread afternoon convection and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit further warming; light winds and high boundary-layer humidity further suppress the diurnal range. Minor differences in storm timing, coverage, or outflow boundaries determine whether the peak reaches 32°C or stays at 31°C, producing the tight market spread between those two outcomes while rendering higher or lower readings far less probable under current model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
32℃ 36%
31℃ 33%
30℃ 16%
33°C 10%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28℃
2%
29°C
5%
30℃
16%
31℃
33%
32℃
36%
33°C
10%
34℃以上
3%
32℃ 36%
31℃ 33%
30℃ 16%
33°C 10%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28℃
2%
29°C
5%
30℃
16%
31℃
33%
32℃
36%
33°C
10%
34℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment clusters around 31–32°C because official guidance from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Panama City on August 23. In the peak of the rainy season, intense solar heating triggers widespread afternoon convection and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit further warming; light winds and high boundary-layer humidity further suppress the diurnal range. Minor differences in storm timing, coverage, or outflow boundaries determine whether the peak reaches 32°C or stays at 31°C, producing the tight market spread between those two outcomes while rendering higher or lower readings far less probable under current model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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