The southwest monsoon currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, limiting solar heating and positioning 30°C as the expected daily maximum according to PAGASA and model consensus. This aligns with the seasonal August average high near 30–31°C, where persistent moisture from the monsoon trough typically suppresses peaks below historical baselines by reducing insolation. Official guidance shows a 26–33°C range with 40–60% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker monsoon flow could allow brief warming toward 32°C or higher, while heavier afternoon showers might cap readings closer to 29°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のマニラの最高気温は?
30℃ 100.0%
$51,101 Vol.
$51,101 Vol.
30℃
100%
30℃ 100.0%
$51,101 Vol.
$51,101 Vol.
30℃
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The southwest monsoon currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, limiting solar heating and positioning 30°C as the expected daily maximum according to PAGASA and model consensus. This aligns with the seasonal August average high near 30–31°C, where persistent moisture from the monsoon trough typically suppresses peaks below historical baselines by reducing insolation. Official guidance shows a 26–33°C range with 40–60% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A sudden clearing of skies or weaker monsoon flow could allow brief warming toward 32°C or higher, while heavier afternoon showers might cap readings closer to 29°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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