The active southwest monsoon continues to suppress daytime heating across Metro Manila through persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and high humidity, keeping the highest temperature on track for the 27–28 °C range that accounts for roughly three-quarters of market-implied probability. Official PAGASA guidance and recent observations show maximums clustered near 28 °C amid 50–100 mm rainfall potential, consistent with the strong trader consensus around those two outcomes. Model runs indicate limited diurnal warming because of reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling; brief clear intervals could allow a 29 °C spike, while sustained heavy rain would favor 27 °C or lower. Historical August averages near 30 °C highlight how the current monsoonal pattern deviates from typical conditions and drives the tight 41.5 %–32.5 % split between the leading contracts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のマニラの最高気温は？
8月18日のマニラの最高気温は？
28°C 47%
29℃ 24%
27℃ 19%
30°C 6%
新規
$20,479 Vol.
新規
$20,479 Vol.
2026/08/18
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
19%
28°C
43%
29℃
24%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
<1%
28°C 47%
29℃ 24%
27℃ 19%
30°C 6%
新規
$20,479 Vol.
新規
$20,479 Vol.
2026/08/18
22℃以下
$102 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,521 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$2,579 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$4,267 Vol.
19%
28°C
$3,484 Vol.
43%
29℃
$2,961 Vol.
24%
30°C
$2,116 Vol.
6%
31°C
$804 Vol.
1%
32°C以上
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon continues to suppress daytime heating across Metro Manila through persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and high humidity, keeping the highest temperature on track for the 27–28 °C range that accounts for roughly three-quarters of market-implied probability. Official PAGASA guidance and recent observations show maximums clustered near 28 °C amid 50–100 mm rainfall potential, consistent with the strong trader consensus around those two outcomes. Model runs indicate limited diurnal warming because of reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling; brief clear intervals could allow a 29 °C spike, while sustained heavy rain would favor 27 °C or lower. Historical August averages near 30 °C highlight how the current monsoonal pattern deviates from typical conditions and drives the tight 41.5 %–32.5 % split between the leading contracts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$20,479終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon continues to suppress daytime heating across Metro Manila through persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and high humidity, keeping the highest temperature on track for the 27–28 °C range that accounts for roughly three-quarters of market-implied probability. Official PAGASA guidance and recent observations show maximums clustered near 28 °C amid 50–100 mm rainfall potential, consistent with the strong trader consensus around those two outcomes. Model runs indicate limited diurnal warming because of reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling; brief clear intervals could allow a 29 °C spike, while sustained heavy rain would favor 27 °C or lower. Historical August averages near 30 °C highlight how the current monsoonal pattern deviates from typical conditions and drives the tight 41.5 %–32.5 % split between the leading contracts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,479終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThe active southwest monsoon continues to suppress daytime heating across Metro Manila through persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and high humidity, keeping the highest temperature on track for the 27–28 °C range that accounts for roughly three-quarters of market-implied probability. Official PAGASA guidance and recent observations show maximums clustered near 28 °C amid 50–100 mm rainfall potential, consistent with the strong trader consensus around those two outcomes. Model runs indicate limited diurnal warming because of reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling; brief clear intervals could allow a 29 °C spike, while sustained heavy rain would favor 27 °C or lower. Historical August averages near 30 °C highlight how the current monsoonal pattern deviates from typical conditions and drives the tight 41.5 %–32.5 % split between the leading contracts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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