Recent monsoon conditions across northern India, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers, form the main driver keeping Lucknow’s August 1 high-temperature odds clustered tightly around 32–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts project partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon convection, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32–33 °C. Higher readings near 34 °C remain possible if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation, while lower outcomes would require heavier or earlier rainfall. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs and historical analogs most heavily because final resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded by 5:30 p.m. local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32°C 38%
33°C 32%
34°C 19%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
38%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 32%
34°C 19%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
38%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon conditions across northern India, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers, form the main driver keeping Lucknow’s August 1 high-temperature odds clustered tightly around 32–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts project partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon convection, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling that typically caps daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32–33 °C. Higher readings near 34 °C remain possible if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation, while lower outcomes would require heavier or earlier rainfall. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs and historical analogs most heavily because final resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded by 5:30 p.m. local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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