Official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport recorded a maximum of 81°F on September 5, 2026, four degrees above the 1991-2020 normal of 77°F and aligning precisely with the market's dominant 80-81°F outcome. This reading, taken at 1:33 PM local time under mostly clear conditions with light westerly winds, reflects the primary resolution metric for such temperature markets and underpins the 100% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the finalized climatological data rather than forecasts, as post-event verification eliminates model uncertainty. A shift would require redefinition of the official station or measurement protocol, scenarios with negligible historical precedent for this contract.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
80〜81°F 100.0%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
70〜71°F <1%
$65,830 Vol.
$65,830 Vol.
67°F以下
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78~79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
はい
82〜83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86°F以上
いいえ
80〜81°F 100.0%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
70〜71°F <1%
$65,830 Vol.
$65,830 Vol.
67°F以下
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78~79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
はい
82〜83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport recorded a maximum of 81°F on September 5, 2026, four degrees above the 1991-2020 normal of 77°F and aligning precisely with the market's dominant 80-81°F outcome. This reading, taken at 1:33 PM local time under mostly clear conditions with light westerly winds, reflects the primary resolution metric for such temperature markets and underpins the 100% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the finalized climatological data rather than forecasts, as post-event verification eliminates model uncertainty. A shift would require redefinition of the official station or measurement protocol, scenarios with negligible historical precedent for this contract.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問