**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 1 peak temperature clusters tightly around 42–44 °C because official forecasts and recent National Center for Meteorology guidance point to above-average heat amid a broader Saudi summer pattern.** August climatology places Jeddah’s mean daily maximum near 38–39 °C, driven by high solar insolation, persistent Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and light northerly winds that reduce mixing. Recent model runs show slightly stronger high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime maxima several degrees warmer than the long-term mean. The narrow spread among the three leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily peak, local micro-climate effects near the measurement site, and small differences among ensemble members regarding sea-breeze onset or dust-induced shortwave absorption. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by the Saudi meteorological authority, so any late-day wind shift or brief cloud increase could tip the recorded high between the closely matched 42 °C, 43 °C, and 44 °C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のジェッダの最高気温は?
43°C 30%
42°C 27%
44℃ 25%
45°C 11%
$20,356 Vol.
$20,356 Vol.
36°C以下
<1%
37°C
<1%
38℃
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
9%
42°C
27%
43°C
30%
44℃
25%
45°C
11%
46℃以上
1%
43°C 30%
42°C 27%
44℃ 25%
45°C 11%
$20,356 Vol.
$20,356 Vol.
36°C以下
<1%
37°C
<1%
38℃
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
9%
42°C
27%
43°C
30%
44℃
25%
45°C
11%
46℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 1 peak temperature clusters tightly around 42–44 °C because official forecasts and recent National Center for Meteorology guidance point to above-average heat amid a broader Saudi summer pattern.** August climatology places Jeddah’s mean daily maximum near 38–39 °C, driven by high solar insolation, persistent Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and light northerly winds that reduce mixing. Recent model runs show slightly stronger high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime maxima several degrees warmer than the long-term mean. The narrow spread among the three leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily peak, local micro-climate effects near the measurement site, and small differences among ensemble members regarding sea-breeze onset or dust-induced shortwave absorption. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by the Saudi meteorological authority, so any late-day wind shift or brief cloud increase could tip the recorded high between the closely matched 42 °C, 43 °C, and 44 °C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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