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icon for 12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?

12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?

icon for 12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?

12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?

はい

11% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

11% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s Inatsisartut last held elections in March 2025, installing a Democrats-led government under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen that favors gradual independence while maintaining close ties with Denmark. As of mid-September 2026, the administration remains intact and is actively advancing a new trilateral security agreement with the United States and Denmark, scheduled for signature at the UN General Assembly, alongside expanded EU investment commitments. No parliamentary deadlock, coalition breakdown, or no-confidence motion has emerged to trigger early dissolution procedures. With the next scheduled vote not due until 2029 and the government focused on diplomatic deliverables through year-end, traders assign low probability to a snap election being called before December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,162
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland’s Inatsisartut last held elections in March 2025, installing a Democrats-led government under Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen that favors gradual independence while maintaining close ties with Denmark. As of mid-September 2026, the administration remains intact and is actively advancing a new trilateral security agreement with the United States and Denmark, scheduled for signature at the UN General Assembly, alongside expanded EU investment commitments. No parliamentary deadlock, coalition breakdown, or no-confidence motion has emerged to trigger early dissolution procedures. With the next scheduled vote not due until 2029 and the government focused on diplomatic deliverables through year-end, traders assign low probability to a snap election being called before December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.

An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,162
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「グリーンランドの総選挙が12月31日までに行われる?」で11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 18, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「12月31日までにグリーンランドの選挙が予定されていますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「グリーンランドの総選挙が12月31日までに行われる?」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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