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Tecnologia·AI

Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?

icon for Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?
Tecnologia·AI

Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?

ago 31

set 30

ott 31

dic 31

ago 31

set 30

ott 31

dic 31

Anthropic 82%

Google 15%

DeepSeek 15%

Amazon 12%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Anthropic 82%

Google 15%

DeepSeek 15%

Amazon 12%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$122 Vol.

75%

icon for Google

Google

$104 Vol.

15%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$104 Vol.

15%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$104 Vol.

12%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$104 Vol.

12%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$109 Vol.

12%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$104 Vol.

12%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$125 Vol.

11%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$150 Vol.

11%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$104 Vol.

9%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$167 Vol.

9%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$147 Vol.

9%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$95 Vol.

7%

icon for Meta

Meta

$147 Vol.

1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$127 Vol.

1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$157 Vol.

1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$137 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 5 in late July 2026 and Claude Fable 5 in June have driven the 76% market-implied probability for the company, as these models lead independent benchmarks including Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index at 63, SWE-Bench coding tasks, and agentic evaluations. Traders see sustained competitive positioning through October due to Anthropic's edge in long-horizon reasoning and production coding over close rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Google's Gemini variants, which trail on raw capability metrics. This skin-in-the-game consensus accounts for typical release timelines while recognizing that new frontier drops or benchmark shifts could alter outcomes before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,658
Data di fine
31 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 5 in late July 2026 and Claude Fable 5 in June have driven the 76% market-implied probability for the company, as these models lead independent benchmarks including Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index at 63, SWE-Bench coding tasks, and agentic evaluations. Traders see sustained competitive positioning through October due to Anthropic's edge in long-horizon reasoning and production coding over close rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Google's Gemini variants, which trail on raw capability metrics. This skin-in-the-game consensus accounts for typical release timelines while recognizing that new frontier drops or benchmark shifts could alter outcomes before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,658
Data di fine
31 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Correlati

icon for Anthropic avrà il miglior modello di IA matematica alla fine di ottobre 2026?

Anthropic avrà il miglior modello di IA matematica alla fine di ottobre 2026?

51%
Sì
icon for Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

57%
icon for Anthropic avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di settembre 2026?

Anthropic avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di settembre 2026?

84%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Anthropic" a 75%, seguito da "Google" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 75¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 12, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?" è "Anthropic" a 75%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Google" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.