Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di agosto?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di agosto?
Anthropic 93%
Google 5.3%
OpenAI 1.9%
Moonshot <1%
$215,090 Vol.
$215,090 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
93%
5%
OpenAI
2%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 5.3%
OpenAI 1.9%
Moonshot <1%
$215,090 Vol.
$215,090 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
$21,177 Vol.
93%
$15,205 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$13,547 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$14,223 Vol.
1%
Meta
$24,607 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$15,276 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$14,714 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$18,818 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$15,032 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$6,526 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$3,772 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$18,099 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$6,459 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$1,488 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$11,526 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,345 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$797 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,357 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$6,518 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$215,090Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$215,090Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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