Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion underpin the even distribution of market-implied odds across the $1.5–2.25 trillion IPO closing market-cap buckets. Run-rate revenue reached $47 billion by May amid rapid AI adoption, yet secondary-market pricing and analyst projections cluster nearer $1.1 trillion post-IPO, reflecting caution following SpaceX's post-listing repricing. Investor targets of $2 trillion or higher contrast with public-market discipline on multiples and capital expenditure, while the low probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 signals broad consensus on near-term listing. Key upcoming catalysts include regulatory review progress, October listing windows, and any updates on forward ARR or competitive positioning versus OpenAI.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.5–$1.75T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$329,946 Vol.
$329,946 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
10%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$329,946 Vol.
$329,946 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
10%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion underpin the even distribution of market-implied odds across the $1.5–2.25 trillion IPO closing market-cap buckets. Run-rate revenue reached $47 billion by May amid rapid AI adoption, yet secondary-market pricing and analyst projections cluster nearer $1.1 trillion post-IPO, reflecting caution following SpaceX's post-listing repricing. Investor targets of $2 trillion or higher contrast with public-market discipline on multiples and capital expenditure, while the low probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 signals broad consensus on near-term listing. Key upcoming catalysts include regulatory review progress, October listing windows, and any updates on forward ARR or competitive positioning versus OpenAI.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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