Anthropic’s Claude AI service has experienced repeated capacity-related incidents and degraded performance throughout 2026, including multiple elevated-error events in July that affected Opus, Sonnet, and related platforms. This track record of scaling challenges under surging demand positions 8–10 days of downtime as the market’s leading outcome, reflecting trader expectations that similar short disruptions will continue into August. Recent status-page activity shows Anthropic resolving issues within hours rather than days, supporting a moderate rather than extreme tally, while strong overall uptime metrics limit bets on 14+ days. Key near-term catalysts include any major model releases or traffic spikes that could test infrastructure limits.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoClaude scenderà nei __ giorni di agosto?
Claude scenderà nei __ giorni di agosto?
8-10 46%
14+ 20%
11-13 17%
5-7 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
<5
6%
5-7
16%
8-10
46%
11-13
17%
14+
20%
8-10 46%
14+ 20%
11-13 17%
5-7 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
<5
$410 Vol.
6%
5-7
$48 Vol.
16%
8-10
$0 Vol.
46%
11-13
$0 Vol.
17%
14+
$153 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude AI service has experienced repeated capacity-related incidents and degraded performance throughout 2026, including multiple elevated-error events in July that affected Opus, Sonnet, and related platforms. This track record of scaling challenges under surging demand positions 8–10 days of downtime as the market’s leading outcome, reflecting trader expectations that similar short disruptions will continue into August. Recent status-page activity shows Anthropic resolving issues within hours rather than days, supporting a moderate rather than extreme tally, while strong overall uptime metrics limit bets on 14+ days. Key near-term catalysts include any major model releases or traffic spikes that could test infrastructure limits.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$612Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude AI service has experienced repeated capacity-related incidents and degraded performance throughout 2026, including multiple elevated-error events in July that affected Opus, Sonnet, and related platforms. This track record of scaling challenges under surging demand positions 8–10 days of downtime as the market’s leading outcome, reflecting trader expectations that similar short disruptions will continue into August. Recent status-page activity shows Anthropic resolving issues within hours rather than days, supporting a moderate rather than extreme tally, while strong overall uptime metrics limit bets on 14+ days. Key near-term catalysts include any major model releases or traffic spikes that could test infrastructure limits.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$612Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude AI service has experienced repeated capacity-related incidents and degraded performance throughout 2026, including multiple elevated-error events in July that affected Opus, Sonnet, and related platforms. This track record of scaling challenges under surging demand positions 8–10 days of downtime as the market’s leading outcome, reflecting trader expectations that similar short disruptions will continue into August. Recent status-page activity shows Anthropic resolving issues within hours rather than days, supporting a moderate rather than extreme tally, while strong overall uptime metrics limit bets on 14+ days. Key near-term catalysts include any major model releases or traffic spikes that could test infrastructure limits.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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