Anthropic’s June 9 rollout of Claude Fable 5 for general users and the upgraded Claude Mythos 5 for Project Glasswing participants established the current Mythos-class tier above Opus, with both sharing the same core capabilities but differing in safeguards. No additional Mythos-class releases have occurred since, leaving traders focused on Anthropic’s next internal update or a comparable advance from OpenAI, Google, or xAI. Key catalysts ahead include potential September expansions of Glasswing access, new cybersecurity or biology benchmarks, and any regulatory signals on high-capability model deployment. The market-implied odds reflect trader expectations that the next release will occur by late Q3, driven by competitive pressure and Anthropic’s stated roadmap for broader availability once safeguards mature.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$85,682 Vol.
30 set 2026
July 31
<1%
August 31
39%
September 30
71%
$85,682 Vol.
July 31
$42,024 Vol.
<1%
August 31
$18,385 Vol.
39%
September 30
$25,274 Vol.
71%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 9 rollout of Claude Fable 5 for general users and the upgraded Claude Mythos 5 for Project Glasswing participants established the current Mythos-class tier above Opus, with both sharing the same core capabilities but differing in safeguards. No additional Mythos-class releases have occurred since, leaving traders focused on Anthropic’s next internal update or a comparable advance from OpenAI, Google, or xAI. Key catalysts ahead include potential September expansions of Glasswing access, new cybersecurity or biology benchmarks, and any regulatory signals on high-capability model deployment. The market-implied odds reflect trader expectations that the next release will occur by late Q3, driven by competitive pressure and Anthropic’s stated roadmap for broader availability once safeguards mature.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$85,682Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 9 rollout of Claude Fable 5 for general users and the upgraded Claude Mythos 5 for Project Glasswing participants established the current Mythos-class tier above Opus, with both sharing the same core capabilities but differing in safeguards. No additional Mythos-class releases have occurred since, leaving traders focused on Anthropic’s next internal update or a comparable advance from OpenAI, Google, or xAI. Key catalysts ahead include potential September expansions of Glasswing access, new cybersecurity or biology benchmarks, and any regulatory signals on high-capability model deployment. The market-implied odds reflect trader expectations that the next release will occur by late Q3, driven by competitive pressure and Anthropic’s stated roadmap for broader availability once safeguards mature.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$85,682Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 9 rollout of Claude Fable 5 for general users and the upgraded Claude Mythos 5 for Project Glasswing participants established the current Mythos-class tier above Opus, with both sharing the same core capabilities but differing in safeguards. No additional Mythos-class releases have occurred since, leaving traders focused on Anthropic’s next internal update or a comparable advance from OpenAI, Google, or xAI. Key catalysts ahead include potential September expansions of Glasswing access, new cybersecurity or biology benchmarks, and any regulatory signals on high-capability model deployment. The market-implied odds reflect trader expectations that the next release will occur by late Q3, driven by competitive pressure and Anthropic’s stated roadmap for broader availability once safeguards mature.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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