Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with reports of an October target date and recent $965 billion valuation after a major funding round, drives the 89.5% market-implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI followed with its own confidential filing roughly a week later but has signaled a potentially longer preparation period, with some timelines pointing to late 2026 or beyond. Traders weigh Anthropic's faster regulatory momentum and competitive positioning in large language model development against OpenAI's scale, while watching for catalysts like final prospectus details, SEC comment resolutions, and broader AI sector sentiment that could still shift timelines before either company prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic
$244,099 Vol.
$244,099 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$244,099 Vol.
$244,099 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with reports of an October target date and recent $965 billion valuation after a major funding round, drives the 89.5% market-implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI followed with its own confidential filing roughly a week later but has signaled a potentially longer preparation period, with some timelines pointing to late 2026 or beyond. Traders weigh Anthropic's faster regulatory momentum and competitive positioning in large language model development against OpenAI's scale, while watching for catalysts like final prospectus details, SEC comment resolutions, and broader AI sector sentiment that could still shift timelines before either company prices.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$244,099Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with reports of an October target date and recent $965 billion valuation after a major funding round, drives the 89.5% market-implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI followed with its own confidential filing roughly a week later but has signaled a potentially longer preparation period, with some timelines pointing to late 2026 or beyond. Traders weigh Anthropic's faster regulatory momentum and competitive positioning in large language model development against OpenAI's scale, while watching for catalysts like final prospectus details, SEC comment resolutions, and broader AI sector sentiment that could still shift timelines before either company prices.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$244,099Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with reports of an October target date and recent $965 billion valuation after a major funding round, drives the 89.5% market-implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI followed with its own confidential filing roughly a week later but has signaled a potentially longer preparation period, with some timelines pointing to late 2026 or beyond. Traders weigh Anthropic's faster regulatory momentum and competitive positioning in large language model development against OpenAI's scale, while watching for catalysts like final prospectus details, SEC comment resolutions, and broader AI sector sentiment that could still shift timelines before either company prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Anthropic sarà pari o superiore a 600 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
90%
Sì
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
40%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
17%
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