The overwhelming trader consensus against Trump’s removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027 reflects the high procedural and political barriers involved. Invocation requires the vice president and a cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds congressional vote to sustain it, an outcome made improbable by current Republican control of both chambers and the lack of any formal incapacity proceedings or bipartisan momentum. No recent public health disclosures, cabinet actions, or legislative signals have altered this baseline. Realistic shifts could still arise from a sudden, documented medical event that prompts cabinet-level action, a major scandal directly tied to fitness for office, or unexpected changes in Senate composition after the 2026 midterms that ease the required supermajority threshold.